Original Investigation
Neurology
August 2, 2024
Global Case Fatality of Bacterial Meningitis During an 80-Year Period: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Cornelis N. van Ettekoven, Fabian D. Liechti, Matthijs C. Brouwer, et al
JAMA Netw Open. 2024;7(8):e2424802. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.24802
Question What is the case fatality ratio (CFR) of bacterial meningitis and how has it changed throughout the last 80 years?
Findings In this systematic review and meta-analysis of 371 studies and 157 656 episodes, there was an overall CFR of 18%, decreasing from 32% before 1961 to 15% after 2010. Decreasing CFRs were also observed in stratified analyses of S pneumoniae, E coli, and S agalactiae meningitis.
Meaning These findings suggest that worldwide trends in decreasing overall CFRs were accounted for by declining CFRs in pneumococcal meningitis.
Abstract
Importance The impact of vaccination, antibiotics, and anti-inflammatory treatment on pathogen distribution and outcome of bacterial meningitis over the past century is uncertain.
Objective To describe worldwide pathogen distribution and case fatality ratios of community-acquired bacterial meningitis.
Data Sources Google Scholar and MEDLINE were searched in January 2022 using the search terms bacterial meningitis and mortality.
Study Selection Included studies reported at least 10 patients with bacterial meningitis and survival status. Studies that selected participants by a specific risk factor, had a mean observation period before 1940, or had more than 10% of patients with health care–associated meningitis, tuberculous meningitis, or missing outcome were excluded.
Data Extraction and Synthesis Data were extracted by 1 author and verified by a second author. The study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses. Random-effects models stratified by age (ie, neonates, children, adults), Human Development Index (ie, low-income or high-income countries), and decade and meta-regression using the study period’s year as an estimator variable were used.
Main Outcome and Measure Case fatality ratios of bacterial meningitis.
Results This review included 371 studies performed in 108 countries from January 1, 1935, to December 31, 2019, describing 157 656 episodes. Of the 33 295 episodes for which the patients’ sex was reported, 13 452 (40%) occurred in females. Causative pathogens were reported in 104 598 episodes with Neisseria meningitidis in 26 344 (25%) episodes, Streptococcus pneumoniae in 26 035 (25%) episodes, Haemophilus influenzae in 22 722 (22%), other bacteria in 19 161 (18%) episodes, and unidentified pathogen in 10 336 (10%) episodes. The overall case fatality ratio was 18% (95% CI, 16%-19%), decreasing from 32% (95% CI, 24%-40%) before 1961 to 15% (95% CI, 12%-19%) after 2010. It was highest in meningitis caused by Listeria monocytogenes at 27% (95% CI, 24%-31%) and pneumococci at 24% (95% CI, 22%-26%), compared with meningitis caused by meningococci at 9% (95% CI, 8%-10%) or H influenzae at 11% (95% CI, 10%-13%). Meta-regression showed decreasing case fatality ratios overall and stratified by S pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, or Streptococcus agalactiae (P < .001).
Conclusions and Relevance In this meta-analysis with meta-regression, declining case fatality ratios of community-acquired bacterial meningitis throughout the last century were observed, but a high burden of disease remained.
