{"id":25998,"date":"2024-07-04T04:10:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-03T20:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/?p=25998"},"modified":"2024-07-04T04:29:23","modified_gmt":"2024-07-03T20:29:23","slug":"jama-netw-open%e5%8f%91%e8%a1%a8%e8%ae%ba%e6%96%87%ef%bc%9a%e5%86%85%e7%a7%91%e4%bd%8f%e9%99%a2%e6%82%a3%e8%80%85%e9%9d%99%e8%84%89%e8%a1%80%e6%a0%93%e6%a0%93%e5%a1%9e%e7%9a%84%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/?p=25998","title":{"rendered":"[JAMA Netw Open\u53d1\u8868\u8bba\u6587]\uff1a\u5185\u79d1\u4f4f\u9662\u60a3\u8005\u9759\u8109\u8840\u6813\u6813\u585e\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Original Investigation&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cardiology<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>May&nbsp;10,&nbsp;2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Risk Assessment Models for Venous Thromboembolism in Medical Inpatients<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emmanuel&nbsp;H\u00e4fliger,&nbsp;Basil&nbsp;Kopp;&nbsp;Pauline&nbsp;Darbellay Farhoumand,&nbsp;et al<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em>JAMA Netw Open.&nbsp;<\/em>2024;7(5):e249980. doi:10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2024.9980<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a><\/a>Key Points<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Question<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;What is the prognostic performance of the simplified Geneva score and other validated risk assessment models (RAMs) to predict venous thromboembolism (VTE) in medical inpatients?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Findings<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;In this cohort study providing a head-to-head comparison of validated RAMs among 1352 medical inpatients, sensitivity of RAMs to predict 90-day VTE ranged from 39.3% to 82.1% and specificity of RAMs ranged from 34.3% to 70.4%. Discrimination was poor, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of less than 60% for all RAMs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Meaning<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;This study suggests that the accuracy and prognostic performance of the simplified Geneva score and other validated RAMs to predict VTE is limited and their clinical usefulness is thus questionable.<a><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Abstract<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Importance<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;Thromboprophylaxis is recommended for medical inpatients at risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Risk assessment models (RAMs) have been developed to stratify VTE risk, but a prospective head-to-head comparison of validated RAMs is lacking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Objectives<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;To prospectively validate an easy-to-use RAM, the simplified Geneva score, and compare its prognostic performance with previously validated RAMs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Design, Setting, and Participants<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;This prospective cohort study was conducted from June 18, 2020, to January 4, 2022, with a 90-day follow-up. A total of 4205 consecutive adults admitted to the general internal medicine departments of 3 Swiss university hospitals for hospitalization for more than 24 hours due to acute illness were screened for eligibility; 1352 without therapeutic anticoagulation were included.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Exposures<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;At admission, items of 4 RAMs (ie, the simplified and original Geneva score, the Padua score, and the IMPROVE [International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism] score) were collected. Patients were stratified into high and low VTE risk groups according to each RAM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Main Outcomes and Measures<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;Symptomatic VTE within 90 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Results<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0Of 1352 medical inpatients (median age, 67 years [IQR, 54-77 years]; 762 men [55.4%]), 28 (2.1%) experienced VTE. Based on the simplified Geneva score, 854 patients (63.2%) were classified as high risk, with a 90-day VTE risk of 2.6% (n\u2009=\u200922; 95% CI, 1.7%-3.9%), and 498 patients (36.8%) were classified as low risk, with a 90-day VTE risk of 1.2% (n\u2009=\u20096; 95% CI, 0.6%-2.6%). Sensitivity of the simplified Geneva score was 78.6% (95% CI, 60.5%-89.8%) and specificity was 37.2% (95% CI, 34.6%-39.8%); the positive likelihood ratio of the simplified Geneva score was 1.25 (95% CI, 1.03-1.52) and the negative likelihood ratio was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.28-1.18). In head-to-head comparisons, sensitivity was highest for the original Geneva score (82.1%; 95% CI, 64.4%-92.1%), while specificity was highest for the IMPROVE score (70.4%; 95% CI, 67.9%-72.8%). After adjusting the VTE risk for thromboprophylaxis use and site, there was no significant difference between the high-risk and low-risk groups based on the simplified Geneva score (subhazard ratio, 2.04 [95% CI, 0.83-5.05];\u00a0<em>P<\/em>\u2009=\u2009.12) and other RAMs. Discriminative performance was poor for all RAMs, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranging from 53.8% (95% CI, 51.1%-56.5%) for the original Geneva score to 58.1% (95% CI, 55.4%-60.7%) for the simplified Geneva score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jamanetwork.com\/ama\/content_public\/journal\/jamanetworkopen\/939364\/zoi240362f1_1714658012.60786.png?Expires=1722345549&amp;Signature=lEOWRntJ3IO9rMqZswNwbXQhGTfz4jJxmFIUpJ3mv~5QVMj99oz5y2EY~o-UCxbQXFeBpbeKN0B1l84qHsaL6DO9b03g6~28p8Z-XMryvuxb1-WHBwG~vTAyNGBC8AILJ~2uTS5cYqhcybwtGK3A8ZS3vHKS3nCjFalCxXb8I9jNfNcOV1fEyW3nis4bXD8HtAD8Rjry5H2GTl64NTbmkKbQ0Kd5eCjnO2iFWH51IYo1wkkWJVVjl-aO6Buq-KYCwYreYTCKRze7gxfqIKwXv-Q62E~sL-~27idcNPJOuyxJUGt81u7BK8SwMWXSwmkmy8PYY2VAPWrI7Wi1RKcSTA__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jamanetwork.com\/ama\/content_public\/journal\/jamanetworkopen\/939364\/zoi240362f2_1714658012.63286.png?Expires=1722345549&amp;Signature=W3vAnueFw0ekacIuuhckPnrV~HthcI3o~7Yb8oVybsHq~JLLvhTLQehT6LDl1Y01KrEyHBaQnARrKFhDM4ADwFMWJcZgHX83eP6pGEhJ2Qng7MWVcTAk1OMioUcvJUy1lA56RJI49h1omfK3l44nreD0n50Sqap-M4XPOUtvV40JVb02wvu4SruvVAejxpG66tbAhmj4NncBXcLhqGk1xarWRqkaHYpDZRezTa7u4Fgkwnwbc-XfR9qnZMjEYt5NpZQPO7xALGrqTJz-64-aYy8JHP6LblGMhVnyD7SV7njuVwq2r5whxEOjqm~wR1BEoP9kG8dY2IgQUfQ4z3UQBg__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jamanetwork.com\/ama\/content_public\/journal\/jamanetworkopen\/939364\/zoi240362t1_1714658012.57664.png?Expires=1722345549&amp;Signature=UYSwq05e8Wdf9Pc43-W6Re05jvNWA8xXTbt5dUd8a5uh1yQVTh~MrM5UUmMyzYd-ewX89E4U-hJDoGGRV9sXIUv~d7Sdi0~vIVsFE2goLpfXCNR68-aNZ-NQXPap2Ab7sicWgjQm8PDJ25zAxEcMN~ImKtPG2wY4aRP~tEO2ywlH0i6t6Y2gD76C4IQ7RCUnl-G6DEjzd-Phj0kgknDfpawYPVwhA92EUciax63bgKEeLRA3cmy0QGb8sXjsZy~gBprFl2PtHvXNhrFb-Joogl~Gnk~D4r-pyf7KNzb7d0AmMNkKJ-S2MysmTIAKUqJ7LjnJ-n4Vnp27dY4LKZGkRA__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jamanetwork.com\/ama\/content_public\/journal\/jamanetworkopen\/939364\/zoi240362t2_1714658012.61786.png?Expires=1722345549&amp;Signature=fWyHOwoS-xvX6h3ke1R1Hu3R7dAFrILREh9g8JBBROMTpilW11mBsujKqW~sE9w09I32Uj0AwnYR3T8rNuBIJBxvnVBsu-D9JGeK8uk~eK2-3EAFe5Ym2iuibi26VANgseViA~nSq5i~r34r0lFJTeumWRr64IJ0Kax4UR9uk5YrZu6DIMkiXcW53qvOPVONvPO6RVFbkOF7s50FKexFXps0QP~pxPKa9eJeMYCFRdFbpcFgHcvAN2Q4pJQRKu5norC0iiGGC8mF6z~duHFgSMVmrGXgxfhwnGNheA5y57gp4Zndjqt4oK6n4PI4PCY1FBXcuW-TwZoVlrRz7D2fzQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Conclusions and Relevance<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;This head-to-head comparison of validated RAMs found suboptimal accuracy and prognostic performance of the simplified Geneva score and other RAMs to predict hospital-acquired VTE in medical inpatients. Clinical usefulness of existing RAMs is questionable, highlighting the need for more accurate VTE prediction strategies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Original Investigation&nbsp; Cardiology May&nbsp;10,&#038;nb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[32,23],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25998"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25998"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25998\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26361,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25998\/revisions\/26361"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25998"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25998"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25998"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}