{"id":19405,"date":"2020-10-24T04:40:40","date_gmt":"2020-10-23T20:40:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/?p=19405"},"modified":"2020-11-30T08:28:19","modified_gmt":"2020-11-30T00:28:19","slug":"bmj%e6%96%b0%e9%97%bb%ef%bc%9a%e6%96%b0%e5%86%a0%e7%97%85%e6%af%92%e6%84%9f%e6%9f%93%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%93%e5%ae%b6%e6%8c%87%e5%87%ba%ef%bc%9a%e5%b0%86%e7%91%9e%e5%85%b8%e7%9a%84%e5%af%b9%e5%ba%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/?p=19405","title":{"rendered":"[BMJ\u65b0\u95fb]\uff1a\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3\uff1a\u4e13\u5bb6\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u5c06\u745e\u5178\u7684\u5bf9\u5e94\u7b56\u7565\u4e0e\u82f1\u56fd\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\u662f\u201c\u8bef\u5bfc\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

News<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Covid-19: Comparing Sweden\u2019s response with the UK\u2019s is \u201cmisleading,\u201d experts argue<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Gareth Iacobucci<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

BMJ<\/em>\u00a02020;\u00a0370: m3765\u00a0doi:\u00a0https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1136\/bmj.m3765<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Sweden\u2019s response to covid-19 should not be used to argue the case for a population immunity strategy in the UK, the Independent Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Independent SAGE) has argued.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a briefing paper published on 25 September, Independent SAGE noted that Sweden is often used as an example of a country where a population immunity strategy is working, without lockdowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the paper argues, firstly, that it is a misconception that Sweden has no restrictions or lockdown and, secondly, that assertions that the country\u2019s strategy is successful are \u201cfar from clear.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report noted the differing social conditions between the UK and Nordic countries, which have a high standard of living, less labour market insecurity, and higher levels of trust. \u201cIt seems misleading to draw direct comparisons between Sweden and the UK. Rather, it is appropriate to compare Sweden with its Nordic neighbours. Nor is it justifiable to imagine that policies adopted there can be applied seamlessly in the UK.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a media briefing on 25 September, Gabriel Scally, visiting professor of public health at the University of Bristol and a member of Independent SAGE, said Sweden\u2019s model was being praised too readily in some sections of the UK media.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He said, \u201cWe are extremely concerned that the Swedish model may be given some credence,\u201d he said. \u201cWe believe it is ineffective. Sweden has had an enormous amount of deaths per head of population, 5880 deaths representing 581 deaths per million population. Compared with its neighbours it has been unsuccessful in preventing deaths\u2014Finland, for example, has had 343 deaths, which equals 62 deaths per million population.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Scally said the report also sought to tackle the \u201cmyths\u201d that Sweden had not imposed any restrictions to curb the spread of covid-19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report highlighted that on 17 March, Sweden moved to online learning only for all children 16 and over and university students, and did not return to face-to-face teaching until the middle of June. Schools for children under 16 stayed open, but have had small class sizes, social distancing, and hygiene measures put in place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It also noted that Sweden has had other restrictions such as a ban on travel from outside the European Union (in place until November 2020), a ban on visiting retirement homes until October 2020, and a continuing ban on gatherings of more than 50 people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report said that in September Denmark has seen a surge in covid-19 cases and Norway saw a sharp increase that has since levelled off. Sweden\u2019s cases appeared relatively flat in early September, which has been taken by some as proof that Sweden\u2019s strategy is working. But it points out that Sweden\u2019s cases are now rising again, and both Finland\u2019s and Norway\u2019s cases per population remain lower than Sweden\u2019s. Nordic countries are currently functioning under similar levels of restrictions, it added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report also draws attention to the economic comparisons, noting that the latest data from the European Commission shows that Sweden\u2019s likely gross domestic product this year and next is similar to that of Denmark, Finland, and Norway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe see no merit in Sweden being held up as an example,\u201d Scally said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Based on the available data, the briefing paper says, \u201cThere is little to suggest that Sweden\u2019s strategy is better than its Nordic neighbours (particularly Norway and Finland) and a lot to suggest that it is worse, with a much larger burden of disease over spring and summer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhile it is certainly possible that the winter will evolve differently for Sweden compared with other countries, it is far too early to know.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the meantime, the report advises the UK to learn from Sweden\u2019s effective public messaging, its high levels of public trust, and its policy to keep schools for younger pupils open throughout, but to also look at what has worked in Finland and Norway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cFinally, we need to recognise that the UK is not Sweden\u2014and what works there might not work here,\u201d it adds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

News Covid-19: Comparing Sweden\u2019s response with the UK\u2019 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[24,23],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19405"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19405"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19405\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19406,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19405\/revisions\/19406"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19405"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19405"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csccm.org.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19405"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}